döntéselemzés
Döntéselemzés, often translated as decision analysis, is a systematic approach to making optimal choices under conditions of uncertainty. It involves identifying the problem, defining objectives, listing available alternatives, and assessing the potential outcomes of each alternative. A key component of decision analysis is the quantification of uncertainty, often through the use of probabilities, and the evaluation of potential consequences, typically expressed in terms of expected values or utilities.
The process commonly involves constructing decision trees or influence diagrams to visually represent the decision problem.
The goal of döntéselemzés is to provide a rational framework for decision-making, allowing individuals or organizations