stsenaariumpõhised

stsenaariumpõhised refers to a methodology or approach that is based on scenarios. This means that instead of relying on single, fixed predictions, it utilizes a range of plausible future outcomes, or scenarios, to inform planning, decision-making, and strategy development.

The core idea behind stsenaariumpõhised approaches is to acknowledge the inherent uncertainty of the future. By developing multiple distinct scenarios, organizations and individuals can explore a wider spectrum of possibilities, including best-case, worst-case, and various intermediate outcomes. This helps to identify potential risks and opportunities associated with each scenario and to develop more robust and adaptable strategies.

These approaches are commonly employed in strategic planning, risk management, policy development, and innovation. They can involve detailed narrative descriptions of future states, often incorporating key driving forces and their potential interactions. The process typically involves identifying critical uncertainties, defining scenario elements, and then constructing coherent and plausible stories for each scenario.

The benefit of a stsenaariumpõhised approach lies in its ability to foster foresight, resilience, and innovation. By thinking through different futures, stakeholders can better prepare for unexpected events, identify potential competitive advantages, and make more informed choices that are less likely to be invalidated by unforeseen circumstances. It encourages a more dynamic and adaptive way of thinking about the future.