Skenaariopohjaista

Skenaariopohjaista refers to an approach or methodology that is based on scenarios. This means that plans, strategies, or analyses are developed by considering a range of possible future situations or outcomes, known as scenarios. Instead of relying on a single prediction of the future, a skenaariopohjaista approach explores multiple plausible futures and prepares for them.

This methodology is often employed in strategic planning, risk management, and policy development. By envisioning different scenarios, organizations and decision-makers can identify potential challenges and opportunities, test the robustness of their strategies, and develop contingency plans. The scenarios typically differ in key driving forces or assumptions about how the future might unfold, leading to distinct future states.

The process of developing skenaariopohjaista strategies involves identifying critical uncertainties, defining the key drivers of change, and constructing a set of internally consistent and plausible scenarios. These scenarios are not predictions but rather tools to foster flexible thinking and preparedness. The goal is to move beyond a single-minded focus on one possible future and instead to build resilience and adaptability across a spectrum of potential realities. This approach encourages learning and foresight, enabling more informed decision-making in complex and uncertain environments.