Skenaariolähtöistä

Skenaariolähtöistä is a Finnish term that translates to "scenario-based" or "scenario-driven." It refers to an approach or methodology that utilizes scenarios to understand, plan, or solve problems. In essence, it involves developing plausible future situations or storylines (scenarios) and then exploring how different decisions, actions, or events might play out within those scenarios.

This approach is commonly used in strategic planning, risk management, and foresight exercises. By considering a range of potential futures, organizations and individuals can identify potential challenges and opportunities, test the robustness of their strategies, and develop more adaptive and resilient plans. Instead of relying on a single forecast, scenario-based thinking encourages a broader perspective and a deeper understanding of uncertainties.

The process typically involves identifying key drivers of change, defining the scope of the scenarios, developing detailed narratives for each scenario, and then analyzing the implications for the subject under consideration. Skenaariolähtöistä thinking emphasizes creativity and critical analysis, pushing participants to think beyond the obvious and to consider a wide spectrum of possibilities. It is a valuable tool for navigating complex and uncertain environments.