escenarios

Escenarios, the plural of scenario in Spanish, denote imagined sequences of events or settings used for analysis, planning, or storytelling. The term is widely used across disciplines to describe potential futures or configurations of a system, rather than to predict a fixed outcome.

Historically, the concept derives from the idea of a stage setting; in theatre, un escenario is the stage and layout of a scene. In modern usage, escenarios extend beyond performance to structured narratives and models that explore how different factors interact.

Applications include theatre and film for script development and scene design; education and scenario-based learning; business strategy and scenario planning to test resilience under diverse market conditions; and public policy and disaster preparedness for contingency analysis.

A typical scenario set identifies driving forces, defines scope, creates coherent narratives, and, where possible, quantifies assumptions to compare outcomes. Common types include baseline, optimistic, pessimistic, and stress or worst-case scenarios.

Limitations include subjectivity, uncertainty, and potential bias in selecting drivers or interpreting results. Escenarios are tools for learning and preparedness rather than precise forecasts.