Skenaariomallintelua
Skenaariomallintelua, often translated as scenario modeling or scenario planning, is a strategic planning method used to explore and analyze potential future situations. It involves developing plausible future stories or scenarios that represent different possible outcomes of uncertain events. The primary goal is not to predict the future accurately but rather to understand the range of possibilities and their potential impacts.
The process typically begins by identifying key driving forces or uncertainties that could shape the future.
Once the scenarios are developed, organizations can analyze their implications. This involves assessing how each scenario