Bezettingskansen

Bezettingskansen is a statistical measure used in capacity planning to express the likelihood that a resource will be occupied within a defined time frame. It is a forward‑looking metric, often presented as a percentage or probability, and it helps anticipate future utilization rather than describe current occupancy.

The concept is applied across sectors where occupancy affects operations and revenue. In hospitality, it relates to hotel rooms and vacation rentals; in real estate, to rental units; in healthcare, to beds and wards; and in manufacturing or logistics, to workstations, machines, or storage spaces. In labor market planning, bezettingskansen can denote the probability that a position will be filled within a certain period. The metric informs pricing, staffing, capacity expansion, and financial forecasting.

Calculation and modeling typically rely on historical occupancy and vacancy data, turnover times, and demand signals. Methods range from simple ratio calculations to more advanced approaches such as survival analysis, Markov chains, time‑series forecasting, or machine learning. Results are often conditioned on factors like seasonality, location, price, and macroeconomic conditions.

Bezettingskansen differs from bezettingsgraad, the actual occupancy rate, by focusing on expected rather than realized occupancy. It remains subject to data quality, market volatility, and modeling assumptions. Used correctly, it supports proactive resource management and more accurate planning.

See also: bezettingsgraad, vacancy rate, capacity planning, demand forecasting, occupancy probability.