blessurekansen

Blessurekansen is a term used in Dutch-language safety and sports medicine to describe the probability that an injury will occur within a defined group over a specified period under particular conditions. It is a measure of injury risk that can apply to individuals or populations and is useful for comparing risk across activities, interventions, or environments.

The concept is typically estimated from surveillance data that include both exposure and injury information. Blessurekansen can be expressed as a proportion (for example, 0.12 or 12% over a season) or as an injury rate per exposure unit (such as injuries per 1,000 hours of participation). In longitudinal data, risk can also be analyzed using methods like survival analysis to account for varying follow-up times.

In practice, blessurekansen is applied in sports and workplace safety. In sports teams, it supports risk assessment, conditioning programs, load management, and return-to-play decisions. In workplaces, it informs safety interventions, training, and policy development aimed at reducing injury likelihood.

Important considerations include how injury is defined, the chosen time frame, and the population at risk. Accurate exposure measurement is crucial, as is recognizing underreporting and censoring, which can bias estimates. The term is closely related to concepts such as injury incidence, injury risk, and injury rate, and it is often used alongside risk factors and preventive strategies to interpret and reduce injury probability.