usikkerhetsbilag

Usikkerhetsbilag is a supplementary document that accompanies a main report, study, or model to document and quantify the uncertainties associated with its data, methods, and results. It serves as a transparent record of what is uncertain, where the uncertainty originates, and how it affects the conclusions drawn in the primary document.

The purpose of an usikkerhetsbilag is to enable critical review and informed decision-making. By detailing the sources of uncertainty, the assumptions used, and the methods for quantifying or handling them, it supports sensitivity analysis, risk assessment, and governance processes. It also aids auditors and stakeholders in understanding the reliability of reported results.

Typical content includes descriptions of uncertain parameters or inputs, the chosen ranges or probability distributions, data sources and quality, and the analytical methods used to quantify uncertainty (such as statistical analysis, expert judgment, or Monte Carlo simulations). It presents the impact of uncertainty on results, often through uncertainty intervals, scenario analyses, or probabilistic statements, and it states limitations and any data gaps.

Usikkerhetsbilag is commonly found as an annex to financial forecasts, cost estimates, environmental or safety assessments, engineering designs, and other technical studies. It is typically referred to in the main document when discussing results and is intended to provide a complete, transparent view of what could influence conclusions under different circumstances.