scenarióvissur

Scenariovissur is a term used in certain academic and professional contexts to describe a specific type of foresight methodology. It translates roughly from Icelandic as "scenario visioning" or "scenario imagining." The core concept revolves around the structured development and exploration of plausible future scenarios. This process is not about predicting the future with certainty but rather about understanding a range of potential futures and their implications.

The methodology typically involves identifying key driving forces that are likely to shape the future, such as technological advancements, demographic shifts, or political changes. Based on these drivers, different future pathways are constructed, each representing a distinct and internally consistent vision of what might happen. These scenarios are then analyzed to understand their potential impacts on a particular organization, industry, or societal issue.

Scenariovissur aims to foster strategic thinking, adaptability, and resilience. By considering multiple futures, decision-makers can identify potential risks and opportunities and develop more robust strategies that are less vulnerable to unforeseen events. It is often employed in strategic planning, policy development, and innovation processes to move beyond a single-minded view of the future and embrace a more nuanced and proactive approach. The emphasis is on learning and preparedness rather than prediction.