prognosrisiko
Prognosrisiko refers to the uncertainty inherent in any forecast or prediction. It acknowledges that future events are not definitively known and that any attempt to predict them will be subject to a degree of error. This concept is relevant across various fields, including economics, meteorology, finance, and project management. The size of the prognosrisiko is influenced by several factors, such as the complexity of the system being predicted, the availability and quality of data, the time horizon of the forecast, and the presence of unforeseen events or "black swans."
Understanding prognosrisiko is crucial for effective decision-making. By recognizing that forecasts are not guarantees, individuals and