Szenariomodellierung
Szenariomodellierung is a method used to explore potential future developments and their consequences. It involves constructing plausible, hypothetical future situations, or scenarios, based on current trends, uncertainties, and key driving forces. The primary goal is not to predict a single, definitive future, but rather to understand a range of possible futures and their implications.
The process typically begins with identifying the critical uncertainties and driving forces that are likely to
Szenariomodellierung is employed across various fields, including business strategy, public policy, environmental planning, and technology forecasting.
By exploring a spectrum of possibilities, Szenariomodellierung helps stakeholders to broaden their perspectives, challenge assumptions, and