tidsvinkling

Tidsvinkling, ofta referred to in English as time bias, describes systematic distortions in interpretation or judgment that arise from the temporal dimension of information. It occurs when the timing of data collection, observation windows, or the sequence of events unduly influences how people perceive patterns, trends, or risks. Tidsvinkling can affect conclusions in research, journalism, history, policy analysis and everyday decision making.

Causal mechanisms include the recency effect (giving more weight to recent data), the availability heuristic (remembering salient recent events more readily), and the projection of current trends into the future. It can also arise from anchoring to a chosen time frame, selection biases tied to specific observation periods, or failure to account for seasonal, cyclical, or long-term variations. Distinguishing between a real temporal trend and a temporary fluctuation is a central challenge.

Examples appear across fields. In finance, short-term market gains may be misinterpreted as a lasting trend due to tidsvinkling. In health research, apparent improvements from screening can be influenced by lead-time or length-time biases rather than true benefits. In journalism or historical analysis, present-day concerns or contemporary values can color interpretations of past events, a phenomenon sometimes labeled presentism.

Mitigation approaches include extending observation periods, predefining time windows, conducting sensitivity analyses across multiple timeframes, and controlling for seasonal or cyclical factors. Transparent reporting of the time frame and data collection methods helps readers assess whether tidsvinkling may have influenced conclusions.