scenarioers

A scenarioer is an individual or entity that develops and utilizes scenarios. Scenarios are hypothetical future situations or events that are created for the purpose of planning, analysis, or decision-making. Scenarioers explore a range of possible futures, considering various driving forces and uncertainties that could shape them.

The practice of scenarioing is employed across diverse fields, including strategic planning, risk management, policy development, and even creative writing. In business, scenarioers might develop potential market changes or competitive landscapes to inform long-term strategy. Governments and international organizations use scenarioing to anticipate geopolitical shifts or the impact of climate change. Military planners might create scenarios to prepare for various conflict situations.

The process of scenarioing typically involves identifying key drivers of change, exploring uncertainties, and then constructing plausible narratives or frameworks for these potential futures. These scenarios are not predictions but rather tools to broaden perspectives, challenge assumptions, and foster more robust and adaptable plans. By considering multiple possible outcomes, scenarioers aim to increase preparedness and resilience in the face of an uncertain future. The output of a scenarioer can range from detailed written descriptions to visual models or simulations.