rendszerdinamikának

Rendszerdinamika is a methodology for understanding and managing complex systems. It uses a computer simulation approach to explore the behavior of systems over time. The core idea is to represent a system as a set of interconnected components, whose interactions create feedback loops. These feedback loops can lead to counterintuitive behaviors, such as growth, oscillation, or collapse.

The methodology was developed by Jay Forrester at the MIT Sloan School of Management in the late 1950s. It has since been applied to a wide range of fields, including economics, environmental science, public policy, and business strategy. Key elements of rendszerdinamika include the use of stock-and-flow diagrams to visualize system structure, and the development of mathematical models that capture the relationships between different parts of the system.

By simulating these models, practitioners can test different policies and interventions to see their potential impact on the system's future behavior. This allows for a more informed and robust decision-making process, especially when dealing with problems that are characterized by interconnectedness and time delays. The goal is not to predict the future precisely, but rather to understand the underlying dynamics that drive system behavior and to identify leverage points for effective change.