Wirtschaftsauswirkungen

Wirtschaftsausblick is a German-language term used to describe the forecast of a country’s or region’s economy over the near to medium term. It outlines expected trajectories for real GDP growth, inflation, unemployment, consumer spending, investment, and trade, and it may also address risks and uncertainties facing the economy.

Forecasts are produced by central banks, statistical offices, research institutes, and international organizations, as well as government agencies. They rely on a combination of econometric models, scenario analysis, and expert judgment. Data inputs include current and historical indicators such as GDP, inflation, labor market statistics, productivity, exchange rates, and commodity prices. Projections are typically presented as baseline scenarios with upside and downside scenarios to illustrate uncertainty.

In German-speaking contexts, the term is commonly used in official and media publications to give a concise picture of expected economic conditions. Examples include national central banks’ outlook reports, government economic assessments, and scholarly forecasting series. Internationally, the related concept is the economic outlook or forecast provided by organizations such as the IMF, OECD, and regional development banks.

Wirtschaftsausblicke are used by policymakers, businesses, and investors to inform planning and risk management. They are conditioned by assumptions about fiscal and monetary policy, global demand, and supply-side constraints; actual outcomes can diverge due to unforeseen shocks such as financial crises, pandemics, or geopolitical events.