Tõenäosusteatis

Tõenäosusteatis refers to a statement or assertion that is made with a certain degree of probability. In Estonian, "tõenäosus" means probability and "teatis" means statement or notice. Therefore, a tõenäosusteatis is not an absolute certainty but rather a declaration whose truthfulness is based on likelihood or statistical evidence. This concept is crucial in fields like statistics, machine learning, and decision-making under uncertainty.

When a tõenäosusteatis is issued, it typically comes with a confidence level or a probability range, indicating how likely the statement is to be true. For instance, a weather forecast might state, "There is a 70% probability of rain tomorrow." This is a tõenäosusteatis, as it doesn't guarantee rain but rather expresses a high likelihood based on meteorological data and models. Similarly, in medical diagnostics, a test result might suggest a high probability of a certain condition, prompting further investigation rather than immediate confirmation.

The construction of a tõenäosusteatis often involves analyzing data, identifying patterns, and applying statistical inference. It acknowledges that absolute certainty is often unattainable and that decisions must be made based on the best available probabilistic information. The interpretation of a tõenäosusteatis requires understanding the underlying probability and the potential consequences of it being incorrect.