EVAbaserad

EVAbaserad is a hypothetical framework used in energy economics to analyze how electric vehicle adoption affects electricity demand and grid planning. The name EVAbaserad is an acronym for Electric Vehicle Adoption-Based Demand Reduction, reflecting its focus on how adoption levels influence load profiles and capacity requirements.

Overview: The framework models the interaction between EV penetration, charging behaviors, and policy instruments. It aims to estimate changes in baseload and peak demand under different scenarios, and to assess potential demand reduction benefits from smart charging and vehicle-to-grid interactions.

Modeling approach: EVAbaserad combines uptake projections with stochastic charging profiles, tariffs, and grid constraints. It employs scenario analysis, sensitivity analysis, and optimization to generate projections for load curves, generation mix, and infrastructure needs.

Applications: It is used to explore policy options, such as time-of-use pricing, investment planning for transformers and substations, and grid modernization priorities. Comparisons across scenarios help identify conditions under which EV adoption delivers energy-system benefits rather than grid stress.

Limitations: As a theoretical construct, its results depend on assumed parameters for user behavior, charging technology, and policy effectiveness. Data gaps and uncertainties can affect accuracy.

See also: Electric vehicle, Demand response, Grid integration, Vehicle-to-grid, Load forecasting.