esperable

Esperable is an adjective used in Spanish-language discourse to describe events, outcomes, or propositions that can be reasonably expected under given assumptions or within a particular model. It is often invoked in discussions of uncertainty, risk assessment, or decision making to distinguish what is warranted to anticipate from more speculative or unlikely possibilities. The term is not widely standardized in formal dictionaries, and its precise meaning can vary by author and context.

Etymology: Esperable comes from the verb esperar, meaning to hope or to expect, with the suffix -able indicating that something is capable of being expected.

Usage and distinctions: Esperable is closer to the English terms expectable or foreseeable than to probable. It emphasizes epistemic justification for anticipation rather than sheer likelihood. In practical use, an outcome is described as esperable if there is sufficient information, a sound model, or reasonable assumptions to warrant expecting it. It does not imply certainty, only that it lies within a reasonable forecast or planning horizon.

Examples: It is esperable that inflation will moderate after the peak, given current monetary policy and supply conditions. A project timeline may include esperable milestones if market conditions hold, while more volatile events would be considered less esperable.

See also: foreseeable, predictable, expected value, forecastability.