Prognosdrivna

Prognosdrivna is a Swedish term used to describe decision-making and policy approaches in health and social care that are guided by prognosis. The word combines prognos (prognosis) with drivna (driven) to denote actions prioritized according to predicted outcomes rather than solely by immediate clinical presentation.

In practice, prognosdrivna approaches rely on prognostic models, risk scores, and data-driven forecasts to assess the likely course of a condition for individuals or populations. Inputs can include patient characteristics, laboratory results, imaging findings, and historical outcome data. When integrated into electronic health records and clinical decision support tools, these models help identify high-risk patients, allocate resources, and plan interventions such as intensified monitoring, early palliative care, or preventive measures. The concept appears in multiple domains, including emergency medicine, oncology, cardiology, intensive care, and public health planning.

Supporters argue that prognosis-driven strategies can improve patient outcomes, optimize resource use, and align care with expected benefits. Critics point to challenges related to model accuracy, data quality, algorithmic bias, and the potential for inequitable treatment if models reflect historical disparities. Effective deployment requires governance, transparency, clinician engagement, and safeguards for patient autonomy and privacy.

As a term, prognosdrivna describes a trend rather than a single standardized framework. It intersects with prognosis, predictive analytics, and value-based care in Swedish-language healthcare discussions.