Delphisessies
Delphisessies are structured forecasting sessions that use iterative rounds of questioning to produce a consensus forecast. They involve a panel of experts drawn from relevant domains, and rely on anonymized responses and controlled feedback to minimize authority bias and encourage genuine convergence on uncertain topics.
Origin and etymology: The name Delphisessies derives from the Delphi method, a mid-20th-century approach developed for
Methodology: A facilitator assembles a suitable panel and defines the scope. In the first round, participants
Variations and applications: Delphisessies can be conducted online or in person, synchronously or asynchronously, and may
Advantages and limitations: Proponents cite reduced bias, improved information sharing, and more actionable forecasts. Critics warn
See also: Delphi method, consensus forecasting, scenario planning.