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PDtheta

PDtheta is a term used in probability theory and statistics to denote a parametric family of probability distributions indexed by a parameter vector theta. In this usage the collection {P_theta : theta in Theta} assigns to each theta a probability measure P_theta on a given measurable space (X, F). The subscript theta indicates the dependence of the distribution on the parameter; PDtheta can be read as the PD for theta, or as a concise shorthand for a parametric distribution.

When a density exists with respect to a base measure mu, one writes p_theta(x) for the density

Examples: the family of normal distributions with fixed variance sigma^2 and varying mean mu is a PDtheta

Applications include parameter estimation via maximum likelihood, construction of confidence sets, hypothesis testing, and Bayesian inference

See also: probability distribution, parametric family, likelihood, Fisher information, exponential family.

of
P_theta.
Regularity
conditions
often
assume
that
theta
->
p_theta(x)
is
differentiable,
enabling
the
definitions
of
the
score
function,
Fisher
information,
and
likelihood-based
methods.
The
Fisher
information
matrix
is
I(theta)
=
E_theta[(∇_theta
log
p_theta(X))
(∇_theta
log
p_theta(X))^T],
provided
expectations
are
finite.
with
theta
=
mu.
The
exponential
family
forms
a
broad
class
of
PDtheta
with
densities
of
the
form
p_theta(x)
=
h(x)
exp(η(theta)·T(x)
-
A(theta)).
using
a
prior
over
theta.
The
notation
varies
by
author,
with
alternative
symbols
such
as
P_theta,
f_theta,
or
p(x|theta)
commonly
used.