Ensemblewarnungen
Ensemblewarnungen are a modern approach to weather forecasting that utilizes multiple forecast models, or "ensembles," to predict potential weather events. Instead of relying on a single deterministic forecast, ensemble forecasting generates a range of possible outcomes by running the same weather model multiple times with slightly varied initial conditions. This variation accounts for the inherent uncertainty in the atmosphere and the limitations of current models.
The core idea behind ensemble warnings is to assess the probability of a specific weather phenomenon occurring.
Ensemble warnings are particularly valuable for forecasting extreme weather events where the precise timing and intensity