Otsustusviga

Otsustusviga (also known as "error of judgment" in English) is a concept in psychology and decision-making theory. It refers to a type of decision-making error that occurs when an individual misinterprets or incorrectly processes information, leading to a flawed or incorrect conclusion.

The term "otsustusviga" was first introduced by Finnish psychologist Arvi Tuomela in the mid-20th century. Tuomela proposed that otsustusviga results from a combination of cognitive biases, such as confirmation bias and anchoring bias, which can lead to incorrect or suboptimal decision-making.

Research has shown that otsustusviga can occur in a variety of contexts, including business, finance, and everyday life. For example, a person may incorrectly estimate the probability of an event occurring, or misinterpret data in a way that leads to an incorrect conclusion.

The causes of otsustusviga are complex and multifaceted, but some key factors include limitations in information processing, emotional influences on decision-making, and social pressures. To mitigate otsustusviga, individuals and organizations can employ strategies such as seeking diverse perspectives, using data-driven decision-making, and encouraging critical thinking and problem-solving skills.

Overall, otsustusviga is an important concept in understanding the psychology of decision-making and the factors that contribute to errors in judgment. By recognizing the potential for otsustusviga, individuals and organizations can take steps to improve decision-making and reduce the risk of flawed conclusions.

Otsustusviga has been studied in various fields, including psychology, economics, and management science, providing insights into the cognitive and behavioral factors that contribute to decision-making errors.