Delphiundersøgelse

Delphiundersøgelse, also known as Delphi method, is a structured communication technique used to solve problems and reach consensus. It was developed by the RAND Corporation in the 1960s and has since been widely adopted in various fields, including business, government, and education. The method involves a group of experts, known as a Delphi panel, who anonymously provide their opinions on a specific topic. These opinions are then collected and summarized, and the panel is asked to provide further input based on the summary. This process is repeated until a consensus is reached or the level of agreement is deemed sufficient.

The Delphi method is particularly useful when the problem at hand is complex, uncertain, or sensitive. It allows for the integration of diverse perspectives and expertise, and it can help to reduce the influence of dominant individuals or groups. The method is also useful for forecasting, as it can help to identify and address potential biases and errors in expert judgments.

However, the Delphi method is not without its limitations. It can be time-consuming and resource-intensive, and it may not be suitable for all types of problems. Additionally, the anonymity of the panel members can sometimes lead to a lack of accountability and a failure to address dissenting opinions.

In recent years, the Delphi method has been adapted and combined with other techniques, such as online surveys and social media, to improve its efficiency and effectiveness. Despite its limitations, the Delphi method remains a valuable tool for problem-solving and decision-making in a wide range of contexts.