konjunkturinstitut

Konjunkturinstitutet (KI), the National Institute of Economic Research, is a Swedish government agency that analyzes and forecasts the Swedish economy. It operates under the Ministry of Finance and provides independent, policy-relevant economic assessments to government authorities, Parliament, and other public institutions. The institute aims to support informed decision-making by delivering evidence-based analyses of economic conditions and likely development paths.

KI's core outputs include macroeconomic forecasts and analyses, with short-term projections for variables such as GDP growth, inflation, unemployment, and the fiscal balance, as well as longer-term studies of structural issues and policy implications. It publishes regular conjunctural analyses and outlooks that contribute to budget discussions, policy formulation, and public debate.

Methodologically, the institute relies on macroeconomic models, official statistics, and time-series analysis, and it conducts scenario planning to illustrate potential developments under different assumptions. KI maintains contact with researchers and other agencies to ensure rigorous analysis and up-to-date information.

Publications and materials from Konjunkturinstitutet are produced in Swedish and English and are intended for policymakers, researchers, media, and the public. The institute is based in Stockholm and serves as a resource for understanding economic conditions in Sweden and for informing public policy decisions.