asiantuntijakyselyistä

Asiantuntijakyselyt, known in English as expert surveys or Delphi studies, are a method used to gather information and forecasts from a group of experts in a particular field. The core principle is to leverage collective knowledge and judgment to gain insights into complex issues, predict future trends, or assess the likelihood of specific events.

The process typically involves several rounds of questionnaires. In the first round, experts are asked to provide their opinions and predictions independently. The responses are then analyzed and summarized, often anonymously, and presented to the experts in subsequent rounds. This allows experts to reconsider their initial views in light of the collective wisdom of the group. Feedback is often provided in a structured way, sometimes including statistical summaries of the group's responses and justifications for differing opinions.

The goal is to reach a degree of consensus or at least to identify the range of expert opinion and the reasoning behind it. Asiantuntijakyselyt are employed in various domains, including technology forecasting, economic analysis, policy planning, and risk assessment. They are particularly useful when dealing with situations where hard data is scarce or when subjective judgment plays a significant role. The validity of the results depends heavily on the selection of appropriate experts and the design of the questionnaires.